- August 27, 2009
Well the wait is over, the draw is out and now it is time to analyze and prognosticate. Roger Federer on the top half looks like he is in a very good section, not that he needs much help anyways. In the first round Fed plays Devin Britton, the young American NCAA champ, who probably can’t feel too happy about that first round assignment.
The first thing that we looked for to see was which half Rafa was on, and he is on the bottom half (it’s still a little weird to see that 3 in front of his name). That means that the Djoker is on the top half, but he is in the same quarter as Andy Roddick, and Andy has to feel pretty good about his placement in the draw considering he’s beaten Djoker 3 times this year already.
On the bottom half the big dogs are Murray, Rafa, Del Po and Tsonga. Murray opens up against the highly talented but very underachieving Ernests Gulbis. And we could potentially have a Murray - Del Po quarter and that whole section is loaded, and I feel that it is the toughest quarter in the draw. Rafa opens against Richard Gasquet who is finally making his return after facing his suspension, certainly not an easy task for the Frenchman.
On the ladies side Dinara Safina, the number 1 seed, looks like she caught a break with both Williams’ sisters on the bottom half. I think it’s a little tougher mentally for the sisters when they know they could meet before the finals. Shaza and Dementieva could potentially play each other in the 3rd round, which could be the first big popcorn match of the tourney. And the resurgent Kim Clijsters is in line to play Bartoli in the 2nd round whom she beat a couple weeks ago and she is in Venus’ quarter, I really like Kim’s chances to make a deep run. Serena looks to be in a very good position, with potential hurdles being Sybille Bammer and Sam Stosur who both beat her this summer.
I’m going to check out the qualies tomorrow to get a more accurate read of the court speed, some of my favorite matches to watch all year are the last round of qualies, which will be going on tomorrow, definitely the best free ticket day in tennis. And props to Sam Querrey for winning the US Open series, edging out Murray and Del Po with his consistent results all Summer. My pre tourney pick in the mens - Club Fed, and even though she hasn’t played well this summer it’s extremely tough to go against Serena.